Thursday, October 4, 2007

The Gluttony of Gambling: Weekend Picks

I don't exactly keep stats when it comes to gambling. I'm sure you can find people out there who will tell you "I was 8-4-1 last weekend." Others, will no doubt embellish and/or fail to tell you they were really 2-8 on their previous weekend wagers. I on the other hand rate it like this, I won or I lost. Well, last weekend, I dabbled in a little of column "A" and a little of column "B." And that's code word for I had some really good picks and some really bad picks. That generally makes for an even weekend...give or take a couple hundo.

So, that brings me to this weekend. And as always, I strongly advise that you really think about it, long and hard before you decide to put your money where my mouth is. The last thing I'd ever want is for you to come looking for me, claiming you mortgaged your house on my degenerate picks. Of course, we're all smart people here...all 5 of you that actually read my picks do it for amusement, never as a reference guide. Good, let's move on.

Gambling is all about piling it on, gluttony...so to speak. And that means there are just never enough bets in a weekend that can be made. Well, consider me greedy and load me up with an extra helping, because I'm going after it this weekend. And that's just about enough with foreplay...here are the picks.

NCAA

Kentucky (+4) over SOUTH CAROLINA
I like that Woodson fella and I'm tired of betting against the Wildcats.

RUTGERS (-3) over Cincinnati
Ray Rice is not going out like a that. Back at home, Rutgers gets it done.

ILLINOIS (-2.5) over Wisconsin
Juice Williams BITCH! Juice Williams BITCH! I'm under the impression after last week that Wisconsin just isn't that good.

MICHIGAN STATE (-15) over Northwestern
Again, have you seen this hit? The Spartans gagged against Wisconsin last week, but the new regime is in place. In years past, they'd be a LOCK to start the free-fall after a tough loss, but not this team.

Oklahoma (-10) over TEXAS
I rode the Sooners into the ground. Last week was a stinger. I was falsely under the impression they were going to be the "COVER" darlings of this College Football season. However, one thing I have been certain about all season long is just how bad this Texas team really is. So, go figure I am hammering the Sooners in a bounce back game.

MARYLAND (+3) over Georgia Tech
Let's not get too full of ourselves now. Georgia Tech was gasping for air and a win going into last week. Sure, they looked impressive in knocking off Clemson, but now we think they can go on the road as a favorite and knock off a tough Maryland team?

Florida (+9) over LSU
I don't why, but I like it. Florida is going to play them tough.

PURDUE (+6.5) over Ohio State
Argh, this may be a spite wager, but I just don't like Ohio State and I'll be honest, the Big 10 stinks this year and so do they. Wait, Purdue is in the Big 10...oops.

NFL

NEW ORLEANS (-3) over Carolina
I'm going down in flames with the Saints, but can they really be THIS bad? I'm not sure, but the Panthers are just as bad.

KANSAS CITY (+3) over Jacksonville
Jacksonville always seems to gag in these games. Until the Jags run a consistent ship, I'm not buying they can win at Invesco and Arrowhead in successive games, not weeks.

WASHINGTON (-3.5) over Detroit
Don't be trapped. I'm a Lions fan and I know what to expect on Sunday. Of course, I won't EVER wager against the Lions, but if you are in a bind...here it is. The Lions NEVER win in Washington, repeat NEVER.

Miami (+5.5) over HOUSTON
Yes, I know Miami sucks, but Houston lost to friggin' Atlanta last week. They are down their #1 WR, they are down a RB...so how the hell are they giving points?

Seattle (+6) over PITTSBURGH
I like that Seattle Defense. And the Steelers scared me last weekend in Arizona. They are vulnerable.

NEW ENGLAND (-100) over Cleveland
OK, really the spread is something like (-16), but this is a team that has NOT failed to cover at least 21 points all season. I know Cleveland ain't all that bad, but Patriots are just THAT good.

N.Y GIANTS (-3) over N.Y Jets
Yawn. The Jets suck.

Dallas (-10) over BUFFALO
Tony, Tony, Tony!!! The Romo show hits Buffalo where they haven't had a Monday Night Football game since Jim Kelly was in town...I think. Slap your duckets on the Cowboys have a couple beers and call me in the morning.
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As always, Gamble responsibly and happy wagering.

3 comments:

Shorty said...

Wanna hear my three team parlay today?

Phillies-Yankees-Cubs

How you think that's working out for me right now?

BD said...

So much for your SPartans not free falling eh?

Arjun said...

Tough loss for the Spartans against Northwestern...I am a Wolverine fan, but as a Michigan man (and UM alum), I will always root for Michigan teams, even Michigan State.

What disappoints me is the media's attention. Do you read the Detroit News? I no longer live in Michigan, but I do read the web articles. It's disappointing to see Rob Parker trash on MSU and say they are the same old Spartans. I don't think they are the same old Spartans, they are a good team and will (hopefully) continue to pose a threat to other Big Ten teams and hopefully in a bowl game. At the end of the day, State looks better this year than I've seen them in a long time, despite a suspect defense. I don't think NW beat MSU because they were better, but rather because of a trend in the Big Ten: we don't handle spread offenses or mobile quarterbacks very well. OSU might be excluded (MIGHT) from this list.

Obviously I'll cheer for UM over State, but nonetheless, I want to see State turn their program around and have it hold.

Great blog (outside of the shameless UM bashing) - just started reading. Keep up the good work